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John's Blog 12-13-10 Print E-mail

John’s Blog

12-13-10

Dear Friends,

Our representatives in Washington are arguing over extending the tax breaks for everyone but one item of interest in this supply chain blog is the transportation related measures being debated. 100% expensing of 2011 business investments mean that companies may write off all plant & equipment expenses next year. The payroll tax reduction should also be good for consumers (not so good for the social security fund). There are number of “extenders” that may be passed for tax breaks that were set to expire for biodiesel and short line railroad infrastructure improvements.

The Commerce Department told us last Thursday that wholesale inventories increased 1.9% in October following a 2.1% jump in September. Durable goods (appliances, furniture, and electronics) inventories were up 0.9%.

Initial jobless claims went down by 17,000 applicants in the week ending December 4th with the four week moving average moving down to 427,500. Continuing claims were reported to be 4.09 million people according to the Department of Labor. Hiring remains very weak and unemployment stands at 9.8% , a new US record stretch where unemployment has remained above 9% for 19 straight months. There were a total of 15.1 million people unemployed in November.

In international shipping the Drewry benchmark container “spot” rate on November 29th remained stable at $1,961 per FEU (40’ equivalent unit). This rate is based on a 40’ container shipping from Hong Kong to Los Angeles without terminal handling expense.

The DOT freight transportation services index increased 3.2% in October year over year. This is the 10th straight month of year over year improvement. The index saw a gain of 0.2% over September.

Dry van trailer sales surged in November according to ACT Research with a 35% increase in 3rd quarter sales year over year. Buyers registered 24,064 trailers with 16,478 being dry vans. 76,125 trailers were registered by buyers in the first 9 months of 2010, a 42.2% improvement over 2009.

FedEx announced that they are raising rates by an average of 4.9% on its FedEx Ground and FedEx Home Delivery units effective January 3rd. The actual increase is 5.9% but is offset by a 1% adjustment decrease in their fuel surcharge for an effective net increase of 4.9%. Look for further LTL carrier rate hikes in 2011.

The American Association of Railroads said that intermodal traffic was up 13.8% in the week ending December 4th with 235,835 trailers and trailers. Containers were up by 15.3% with 197,526 units handled. In this post Thanksgiving week the AAR said there were 303,570 carloads originated for a year over year gain of 6.8%.

At Wagner we are involved in year end adjustments with leases to take advantage of market conditions. Now is a great time to rationalize your distribution network as the industrial real estate market is weak resulting in lower lease rates. If you have a need for a new location don’t hesitate to give Wagner a call as we will source a facility and staff it tailoring the services to your needs.

Should you have a need for transportation services, fulfillment, distribution center operations or packaging I hope you know who to call in 2011.

Have a great week!

John Wagner Jr

 
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